The Trend Rider
Classic dual-momentum sector rotation — rides the strongest sectors, steps aside into cash/bonds when nothing looks strong.
Ranks the 10 SPDR sector ETFs and a cash/short-term Treasury filter by trailing total return every month, holding the top-ranked names equally weighted and shifting to the cash/Treasury filter when sector momentum broadly weakens.
The exact rule, in full, as currently in effect (revision 1, effective Jul 15, 2026):
Universe: 10 SPDR sector ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLRE) plus a cash/short-term Treasury filter (BIL). On the first trading day of each month, rank all 11 instruments by blended 3/6/12-month trailing total return. Hold the top 3 ranked instruments, equally weighted; any sector ETF that ranks below BIL is replaced by BIL for that month.
See every rule change this portfolio has ever made »This portfolio hasn't opened any positions yet.
No published trades yet — every trade this portfolio makes will appear here with a plain-English explanation once it's reviewed and published.
- Risk tier
- Moderate
- Starting capital
- $50,000
- Uninvested cash
- $50,000
- Benchmark
- SPY
- Inception
- Jul 15, 2026