Insights
Tax tips, options trading ideas, and market takes — updated regularly.
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Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile options were pricing in double-digit swings ahead of their August 10 earnings. Both stocks whipsawed hard intraday — then landed far closer to unchanged than the options market bet on. Here's the IV crush lesson.
The Fed's Jackson Hole symposium runs Aug. 27–29, with a still-untested new chair. The same event caused a 3%+ market drop in 2022 and a rally in 2025. Here's how options traders position for volatility around a catalyst nobody can reliably call.
Eli Lilly's Q2 beat sent shares higher on August 5, but options markets had already priced in a $65–76 billion swing beforehand. Here's how implied move is calculated, why the number shifts daily, and what IV crush means for anyone holding options into earnings.
Arm Holdings reports earnings tonight after a brutal 28% one-month slide. Options are pricing a double-digit swing in either direction. Here's what's driving the drop, and how traders approach a binary event like this.
Super Micro Computer surged on an unaudited guidance update three weeks before its actual earnings report. Here's the difference between a "preliminary" pre-announcement and a scheduled earnings release — and what it means for options priced in between.
Meta and Microsoft report earnings the same afternoon the Fed announces its July rate decision — then Apple and Amazon follow a day later. Here's how options pricing works when two catalysts stack on the same trading day.
Delta Air Lines reports Friday morning, and options traders have already placed their bet — not on whether the quarter is good, but on how far the stock will swing either way. Here's how that "implied move" gets priced, and why it can trip up traders who get the direction right.