Insights
Tax tips, options trading ideas, and market takes — updated regularly.
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Cloudflare's stock jumped well past what pre-earnings options pricing had signaled. Rather than proof that the market got it wrong, it's a clean, real example of what an "implied move" actually is — and isn't.
Caterpillar posted its best quarter ever and its stock moved further than options traders priced in. Here's what an "implied move" really is, and why CAT keeps beating its own number.
Tesla and Alphabet report Wednesday evening as the first two Magnificent Seven names of the season, and options are pricing unusually large swings. Here's how an implied move works, why it tends to evaporate fast, and what that means if you're holding options into the print.